A dramatic downturn in the UK’s weather system for November has now been forecast, with colder temperatures and a likelihood of snow hitting some northern regions, the Met Office has exclusively said. Autumn so far has been unusually warm, with temperatures just yesterday peaking at 20C in the south east. This has been welcomed by many who are resisting temptation of putting their heating on in the chillier seasons due to soaring energy prices. But, the start of a new month just next week will bring a whole host of new conditions to contend with as the mercury begins to align with what is normally expected for the time of year.
Weather indicating model WX Charts showed a potential for snow to hit Scotland – not just in the Highlands – but in populated central parts by Thursday, November 10 with most of it falling overnight.
But this, the map claims, will also reach northern England, pushing south from Scotland to as far as Newcastle in one instance. Express.co.uk spoke to Met Office spokesman Stephen Dixon who gave some insight on what may be expected.
He said: “The potential for some cooler weather increases from mid-November, with the coldest places most likely to be in the northwest. There will be an ongoing chance later in the month that any showers could fall as snow for a time in the north, with the high ground most likely to see the highest of any accumulations.
“There isn’t a signal beyond what we’d normally expect for this time of year in terms of snowfall.”
Due to the forecast being more than 14 days away, it can be hard to predict the specifics – and forecasters refrain from doing so as confidence levels remain low. But, the Met’s long-range forecast does add some colour over what may be expected.
From the end of October to November 9 it says: “Changeable and unsettled conditions are likely to continue on Monday with bands of showers and rain interspersed with clearer periods, moving in a northeastwards direction across the country.
“Further into the week, unsettled conditions likely to remain particularly in the north and west, bringing showers or longer periods of rain. The southeast is likely to remain dry and brighter throughout the period.
“Strong winds are expected at times across much of the UK, especially in the west and north with a risk of gales. Conditions remaining similar as we move further into November, with showers or longer spells of rain, heavy in places, likely across much of the UK. Temperatures above average, feeling milder during both the day and night.”
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Then, for mid to late November it adds: “Unsettled conditions are expected to continue at first, bringing showers and longer spells of rain, heavy in places, across much of the UK.
“As we move towards mid-November, conditions are likely to settle, potentially bringing colder, drier weather especially for the north and west. Some rain can still be expected at times, especially in the south. An increasing chance of overnight frost and fog in places, as night temperatures start to fall.”
It is thought the drop in temperatures overnight will bring snow showers in the coldest places, with the north west being one of the first places to cop a dusting around this time.
WX Charts’ map, which indicates new and emerging weather patterns, shows there may be anywhere between 1cm and 3cm laying in the second week of the month – overnight from November 9 into November 10.
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The Met Office’s spokesman spoke to Express.co.uk earlier this week about snow forecasts and what’s expected as the nation heads into November.
He added: “There’s a chance of some snow through November for northwestern parts of the UK. This isn’t unusual for this time of year and the majority of any snow is most likely to fall over the Scottish mountains.
“It’s not possible at this range to talk about any specific amounts, although there aren’t currently any signals that deviate hugely from the average for the time of year.
“To put it in perspective, on average, Scotland reports 1.5 days of snow lying in November. Obviously, the stations in the higher ground see more, while those in the lower ground see fewer days of snow lying in the month.”