Exact day thunder and lightning to hit UK in 'most unsettled period since spring'

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A meteorologist has warned of a drastically unsettled period of wind, rain and thunderstorms to hit parts of the UK by the end of this coming weekend. In just a few hours’ time, large swathes of Northern Ireland, parts of north western Scotland, Wales and the north east of England will be subjected to one of three yellow weather warnings for rain and wind. While this will only last for 11 or so hours – a turbulent week of weather is set to continue until at least the middle of the month. That’s according to senior meteorologist Jim Dale from British Weather Services.

Speaking exclusively to Express.co.uk, he said: “Given the volatile situation with rain then heavy showers, there’s every chance of thunderstorms. We are in the most unsettled period of weather since the early spring.”

Mr Dale then proceeded to give a handful of reasons as to why this autumnal weather was rearing its head now – and not three to four weeks ago.

He added: “It’s overdue, it’s autumn,  the surrounding oceans and seas are warmer than the seasonal normal and the jet stream has moved further south.”He also gave confidence over this “volatile” weather front lasting into the middle of November.

But in the immediate future, Sunday, November 6 is when some regions may see thunderstorms striking. It’s understood northern parts of the UK are currently most at risk. 

Annie Shuttleworth, a meteorologist for the Met Office, told Express.co.uk that there was still some uncertainty over the weekend’s weather due to it being three days away.

But she delivered some bad news for scores of people planning Bonfire Night events, or wishing to attend public firework displays.

She said: “There is still some uncertainty in the forecast for the weekend given the lead time but it likely to be relatively unsettled as a band rain, heavy in places will push eastwards across the country throughout the day. With showers following behind. It will be a little milder in the evening than the next few nights.”

The Met Office’s long range forecast which looks at weather conditions from November 6 to 15 indicates just how unsettled much of the month is set to be. 

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It says: “Rain in the east at first on Sunday will clear at first to leave a mixture of clear and sunny spells and blustery showers, perhaps heavy and thundery in places.

“Predominantly unsettled weather conditions are expected to continue for the rest of the period, with western and northwestern areas likely to see the greatest amount of rain.

“Meanwhile, any drier and brighter spells are most likely to be across southeastern parts of the UK. It will often be windy with gales likely at times, particularly for coastal regions in the north and northwest.”

But it added that temperatures won’t fare too badly for the time of year: “Temperatures are expected to be close to or a little above normal for this time of year in most parts of the UK.”

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Despite the fluctuating mercury over the next week, Mr Dale told Express.co.uk this year has been somewhat of a record-breaker, and he wasn’t just talking about the summer scorcher.

He added: “Every month in 2022 so far has ended up warmer than the 30 year seasonal average and November is likely to follow suit.” His prediction comes after an unseasonably warm October, where temperatures peaked in the early 20s in the south east.

Despite heavy rain, storms and even strong winds – the Met Office is not expecting colder temperatures to arrive until at least the end of this month at the earliest. Its long range forecast for the end of the month reads: “A transition to more settled weather is expected during this period.

“While changeable conditions with spells of rain are still possible, especially at first, high pressure will become more likely in the vicinity of the UK, probably bringing drier and somewhat colder weather overall. With this increased likelihood of high pressure, overnight frost and fog are also expected to become more frequent.”



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